Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Vejer de la Frontera: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Vejer de la Frontera (Cádiz, 12,656 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
8 councillors (2023: 8) · 46.0% of the vote (2023: 46.4%) Majority 40%
PSOE-A−1
8 councillors (2023: 9) · 45.3% of the vote (2023: 49.2%) Majority 33%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 6.9% of the vote (2023: 2.6%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 27% of 300 simulated elections.

Try it

What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Vejer de la Frontera

Vejer de la Frontera is a municipality in the province of Cádiz with 12,656 inhabitants, the 19th largest of its 45 municipalities. Its council has 17 seats, and 9 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSOE-A came first with 49.2% of the vote and 9 seats, an absolute majority; PP was second with 8. 65.8% of the 10,292 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PSOE-A would be largest on 8 of 17.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 46.4% → 46.0% 8 → 8 councillors
  2. PSOE-APSOE 49.2% → 45.3% 9 → 8 councillors
  3. VOXVox 2.6% → 6.9% 0 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 6,774 valid votes including 125 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Vejer de la Frontera in size, in Cádiz

Every municipality in Cádiz → · All of Spain →