Olvera: no list would have a majority, PSOE-A largest
Olvera (Cádiz, 7,974 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 13councillors, 7 for a majority
- 85%no list with a majority
- 4,473valid votes in 2023 (70% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 85% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Olvera
Olvera is a municipality in the province of Cádiz with 7,974 inhabitants, the 22nd largest of its 45 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PSOE-A came first with 42.3% of the vote and 6 seats; IU ANDALUCÍA was second with 5. 69.5% of the 6,435 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PSOE-A would be largest on 6 of 13.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOE-APSOE 42.3% → 40.6% 6 → 6 councillors
- IU ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 36.6% → 32.9% 5 → 4 councillors
- PPPP 14.9% → 14.8% 2 → 2 councillors
- VOXVox 5.3% → 10.9% 0 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 4,473 valid votes including 39 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.