Olvera: no list would have a majority, PSOE-A largest
Olvera (Cádiz, 7,974 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 13councillors, 7 for a majority
- 85%no list with a majority
- 4,473valid votes in 2023 (70% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PSOE-A±0
6
councillors (2023: 6) · 40.6% of the vote (2023: 42.3%)
Majority 15%
IU ANDALUCÍA−1
4
councillors (2023: 5) · 32.9% of the vote (2023: 36.6%)
Majority under 1%
PP±0
2
councillors (2023: 2) · 14.8% of the vote (2023: 14.9%)
Majority 0%
VOX+1
1
councillors (2023: 0) · 10.9% of the vote (2023: 5.3%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 85% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOE-APSOE 42.3% → 40.6% 6 → 6 councillors
- IU ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 36.6% → 32.9% 5 → 4 councillors
- PPPP 14.9% → 14.8% 2 → 2 councillors
- VOXVox 5.3% → 10.9% 0 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 4,473 valid votes including 39 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.