Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Prado del Rey: PP would keep its majority

Prado del Rey (Cádiz, 5,647 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
9 councillors (2023: 9) · 64.2% of the vote (2023: 64.9%) Majority over 99%
PSOE-A−1
2 councillors (2023: 3) · 19.8% of the vote (2023: 23.0%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 14.1% of the vote (2023: 8.1%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 64.9% → 64.2% 9 → 9 councillors
  2. PSOE-APSOE 23.0% → 19.8% 3 → 2 councillors
  3. VOXVox 8.1% → 14.1% 1 → 2 councillors
  4. IU ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 2.8% → 0.8% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,243 valid votes including 38 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Prado del Rey in size, in Cádiz

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