Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Alcalá del Valle: I.U. ANDALUCIA would keep its majority

Alcalá del Valle (Cádiz, 4,982 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

I.U. ANDALUCIA±0
7 councillors (2023: 7) · 57.1% of the vote (2023: 59.9%) Majority 93%
PSOE-A±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 38.2% of the vote (2023: 38.6%) Majority 7%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. I.U. ANDALUCIASumar, Podemos and allies 59.9% → 57.1% 7 → 7 councillors
  2. PSOE-APSOE 38.6% → 38.2% 4 → 4 councillors
  3. VOXVox 0.2% → 4.1% 0 → 0 councillors
  4. PPPP 0.6% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,693 valid votes including 23 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Alcalá del Valle in size, in Cádiz

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