San José del Valle: PSOE-A would keep its majority
San José del Valle (Cádiz, 4,453 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 94%PSOE-A majority
- 2,632valid votes in 2023 (71% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PSOE-A−1
6
councillors (2023: 7) · 53.8% of the vote (2023: 57.8%)
Majority 94%
PP±0
3
councillors (2023: 3) · 23.5% of the vote (2023: 24.2%)
Majority 0%
UA+1
2
councillors (2023: 1) · 16.6% of the vote (2023: 15.8%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 6% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOE-APSOE 57.8% → 53.8% 7 → 6 councillors
- PPPP 24.2% → 23.5% 3 → 3 councillors
- UALocal lists 15.8% → 16.6% 1 → 2 councillors
- VOXVox 1.1% → 5.0% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,632 valid votes including 29 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.