Espera: IU ANDALUCÍA would keep its majority
Espera (Cádiz, 3,820 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 90%IU ANDALUCÍA majority
- 2,416valid votes in 2023 (76% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
IU ANDALUCÍA−1
6
councillors (2023: 7) · 55.4% of the vote (2023: 56.3%)
Majority 90%
PSOE-A±0
4
councillors (2023: 4) · 32.9% of the vote (2023: 32.5%)
Majority 0%
UA+1
1
councillors (2023: 0) · 9.3% of the vote (2023: 7.9%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 10% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- IU ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 56.3% → 55.4% 7 → 6 councillors
- PSOE-APSOE 32.5% → 32.9% 4 → 4 councillors
- UALocal lists 7.9% → 9.3% 0 → 1 councillors
- PPPP 2.4% → 1.6% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,416 valid votes including 21 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.
Near Espera in size, in Cádiz
- San José del Valle4,453 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Castellar de la Frontera3,043 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Alcalá del Valle4,982 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- San Martín del Tesorillo2,797 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Alcalá de los Gazules5,227 inhabitants · 13 councillors
- Paterna de Rivera5,451 inhabitants · 13 councillors