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Spain · Municipal elections 2027 · Cádiz

Espera: IU ANDALUCÍA would keep its majority

Espera (Cádiz, 3,820 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

IU ANDALUCÍA−1
6 councillors (2023: 7) · 55.4% of the vote (2023: 56.3%) Majority 90%
PSOE-A±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 32.9% of the vote (2023: 32.5%) Majority 0%
UA+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 9.3% of the vote (2023: 7.9%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 10% of 300 simulated elections.

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About Espera

Espera is a municipality in the province of Cádiz with 3,820 inhabitants, the 34th largest of its 45 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 IU ANDALUCÍA came first with 56.3% of the vote and 7 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE-A was second with 4. 76.2% of the 3,172 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps IU ANDALUCÍA on 6 seats, a majority, which it holds in 90% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. IU ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 56.3% → 55.4% 7 → 6 councillors
  2. PSOE-APSOE 32.5% → 32.9% 4 → 4 councillors
  3. UALocal lists 7.9% → 9.3% 0 → 1 councillors
  4. PPPP 2.4% → 1.6% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,416 valid votes including 21 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Espera in size, in Cádiz

Every municipality in Cádiz → · All of Spain →