Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Trebujena: IU ANDALUCÍA would keep its majority

Trebujena (Cádiz, 7,010 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

IU ANDALUCÍA±0
7 councillors (2023: 7) · 50.8% of the vote (2023: 53.6%) Majority 77%
PSOE-A±0
6 councillors (2023: 6) · 40.8% of the vote (2023: 41.2%) Majority 22%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 1% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. IU ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 53.6% → 50.8% 7 → 7 councillors
  2. PSOE-APSOE 41.2% → 40.8% 6 → 6 councillors
  3. VOXVox 0.5% → 4.4% 0 → 0 councillors
  4. PPPP 3.9% → 3.2% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 4,432 valid votes including 35 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Trebujena in size, in Cádiz

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