Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Valle de Mena: no list would have a majority, POR MENA largest

Valle de Mena (Burgos, 4,030 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

POR MENA±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 40.1% of the vote (2023: 37.5%) Majority 15%
PSOE±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 32.4% of the vote (2023: 35.1%) Majority 1%
PP±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 18.3% of the vote (2023: 18.7%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 84% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Valle de Mena

Valle de Mena is a municipality in the province of Burgos with 4,030 inhabitants, the 6th largest of its 367 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 POR MENA came first with 37.5% of the vote and 5 seats; PSOE was second with 4. 69.3% of the 3,233 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: POR MENA would be largest on 5 of 11.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. POR MENALocal lists 37.5% → 40.1% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 35.1% → 32.4% 4 → 4 councillors
  3. PPPP 18.7% → 18.3% 2 → 2 councillors
  4. VMLocal lists 6.8% → 7.3% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,239 valid votes including 42 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Valle de Mena in size, in Burgos

Every municipality in Burgos → · All of Spain →