Lerma: PP would win a majority
Lerma (Burgos, 2,584 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 57%PP majority
- 1,289valid votes in 2023 (65% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PP+1
6
councillors (2023: 5) · 49.9% of the vote (2023: 48.1%)
Majority 57%
PSOE−1
5
councillors (2023: 6) · 47.9% of the vote (2023: 49.7%)
Majority 43%
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 48.1% → 49.9% 5 → 6 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 49.7% → 47.9% 6 → 5 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,289 valid votes including 29 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.