Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Roa: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Roa (Burgos, 2,201 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP−1
5 councillors (2023: 6) · 48.2% of the vote (2023: 51.2%) Majority 53%
VOX+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 25.8% of the vote (2023: 18.0%) Majority 0%
PSOE±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 25.4% of the vote (2023: 30.1%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 47% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 51.2% → 48.2% 6 → 5 councillors
  2. VOXVox 18.0% → 25.8% 2 → 3 councillors
  3. PSOEPSOE 30.1% → 25.4% 3 → 3 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,142 valid votes including 7 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Roa in size, in Burgos

Every municipality in Burgos → · All of Spain →