España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Roa: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Roa (Burgos, 2,201 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP−1
5 councillors (2023: 6) · 48.2% of the vote (2023: 51.2%) Majority 53%
VOX+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 25.8% of the vote (2023: 18.0%) Majority 0%
PSOE±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 25.4% of the vote (2023: 30.1%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 47% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Roa

Roa is a municipality in the province of Burgos with 2,201 inhabitants, the 9th largest of its 367 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 51.2% of the vote and 6 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE was second with 3. 74.4% of the 1,535 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PP would be largest on 5 of 11.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 51.2% → 48.2% 6 → 5 councillors
  2. VOXVox 18.0% → 25.8% 2 → 3 councillors
  3. PSOEPSOE 30.1% → 25.4% 3 → 3 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,142 valid votes including 7 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Roa in size, in Burgos

Every municipality in Burgos → · All of Spain →