Roa: no list would have a majority, PP largest
Roa (Burgos, 2,201 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 53%PP majority
- 1,142valid votes in 2023 (74% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 47% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Roa
Roa is a municipality in the province of Burgos with 2,201 inhabitants, the 9th largest of its 367 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PP came first with 51.2% of the vote and 6 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE was second with 3. 74.4% of the 1,535 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PP would be largest on 5 of 11.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 51.2% → 48.2% 6 → 5 councillors
- VOXVox 18.0% → 25.8% 2 → 3 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 30.1% → 25.4% 3 → 3 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,142 valid votes including 7 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.