Villarcayo de Merindad de Castilla la Vieja: no list would have a majority, PP largest
Villarcayo de Merindad de Castilla la Vieja (Burgos, 3,942 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 98%no list with a majority
- 2,162valid votes in 2023 (69% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PP±0
5
councillors (2023: 5) · 36.2% of the vote (2023: 38.0%)
Majority 2%
MCVI±0
2
councillors (2023: 2) · 20.4% of the vote (2023: 20.2%)
Majority 0%
VB±0
2
councillors (2023: 2) · 19.0% of the vote (2023: 18.8%)
Majority 0%
PSOE−1
1
councillors (2023: 2) · 12.6% of the vote (2023: 15.9%)
Majority 0%
VOX+1
1
councillors (2023: 0) · 9.9% of the vote (2023: 5.1%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 98% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 38.0% → 36.2% 5 → 5 councillors
- MCVILocal lists 20.2% → 20.4% 2 → 2 councillors
- VBLocal lists 18.8% → 19.0% 2 → 2 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 15.9% → 12.6% 2 → 1 councillors
- VOXVox 5.1% → 9.9% 0 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,162 valid votes including 41 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.