Villarcayo de Merindad de Castilla la Vieja: no list would have a majority, PP largest
Villarcayo de Merindad de Castilla la Vieja (Burgos, 3,942 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 98%no list with a majority
- 2,162valid votes in 2023 (69% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 98% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Villarcayo de Merindad de Castilla la Vieja
Villarcayo de Merindad de Castilla la Vieja is a municipality in the province of Burgos with 3,942 inhabitants, the 7th largest of its 367 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PP came first with 38% of the vote and 5 seats; MCVI was second with 2. 68.7% of the 3,146 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PP would be largest on 5 of 11.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 38.0% → 36.2% 5 → 5 councillors
- MCVILocal lists 20.2% → 20.4% 2 → 2 councillors
- VBLocal lists 18.8% → 19.0% 2 → 2 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 15.9% → 12.6% 2 → 1 councillors
- VOXVox 5.1% → 9.9% 0 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,162 valid votes including 41 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.