Sestao: no list would have a majority, EH BILDU largest
Sestao (Bizkaia, 27,533 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 21councillors, 11 for a majority
- over 99%no list with a majority
- 11,829valid votes in 2023 (56% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
EH BILDU±0
6
councillors (2023: 6) · 28.0% of the vote (2023: 24.3%)
Majority 0%
EAJ-PNV−1
6
councillors (2023: 7) · 26.7% of the vote (2023: 30.5%)
Majority 0%
PSE-EE (PSOE)±0
6
councillors (2023: 6) · 24.5% of the vote (2023: 26.1%)
Majority 0%
ELKARREKIN PODEMOS - EZKER ANITZA / IU - BERDEAK E±0
2
councillors (2023: 2) · 8.0% of the vote (2023: 10.2%)
Majority 0%
VOX+1
1
councillors (2023: 0) · 7.2% of the vote (2023: 2.5%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in over 99% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- EH BILDUEH Bildu 24.3% → 28.0% 6 → 6 councillors
- EAJ-PNVPNV 30.5% → 26.7% 7 → 6 councillors
- PSE-EE (PSOE)PSOE 26.1% → 24.5% 6 → 6 councillors
- ELKARREKIN PODEMOS - EZKER ANITZA / IU - BERDEAK ESumar, Podemos and allies 10.2% → 8.0% 2 → 2 councillors
- VOXVox 2.5% → 7.2% 0 → 1 councillors
- PPPP 4.6% → 3.9% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 11,829 valid votes including 213 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.