Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Mundaka: no list would have a majority, EH BILDU largest

Mundaka (Bizkaia, 1,866 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

EH BILDU±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 36.2% of the vote (2023: 32.3%) Majority 3%
EAJ-PNV−1
3 councillors (2023: 4) · 31.8% of the vote (2023: 37.3%) Majority under 1%
H.A.+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 30.2% of the vote (2023: 27.8%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 97% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Mundaka

Mundaka is a municipality in the province of Bizkaia with 1,866 inhabitants, the 54th largest of its 112 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 EAJ-PNV came first with 37.3% of the vote and 4 seats; EH BILDU was second with 3. 74.1% of the 1,532 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: EAJ-PNV would be largest on 3 of 9.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. EH BILDUEH Bildu 32.3% → 36.2% 3 → 3 councillors
  2. EAJ-PNVPNV 37.3% → 31.8% 4 → 3 councillors
  3. H.A.Local lists 27.8% → 30.2% 2 → 3 councillors
  4. PSE-EE (PSOE)PSOE 0.9% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,135 valid votes including 20 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Mundaka in size, in Bizkaia

Every municipality in Bizkaia → · All of Spain →