Barakaldo: no list would have a majority, EAJ-PNV largest
Barakaldo (Bizkaia, 100,535 inhabitants) elects 27 councillors on 23 May 2027; 14 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 27councillors, 14 for a majority
- 99%no list with a majority
- 43,124valid votes in 2023 (55% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
EAJ-PNV−2
9
councillors (2023: 11) · 32.0% of the vote (2023: 36.0%)
Majority 1%
PSE-EE (PSOE)±0
7
councillors (2023: 7) · 23.1% of the vote (2023: 24.5%)
Majority 0%
EH BILDU±0
5
councillors (2023: 5) · 18.5% of the vote (2023: 15.9%)
Majority 0%
VOX+2
2
councillors (2023: 0) · 7.9% of the vote (2023: 2.9%)
Majority 0%
PP±0
2
councillors (2023: 2) · 6.7% of the vote (2023: 7.2%)
Majority 0%
ELKARREKIN PODEMOS-EZKER ANITZA/IU-ALIANZA VERDE±0
2
councillors (2023: 2) · 6.6% of the vote (2023: 8.7%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (14 of 27). No list with a majority in 99% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- EAJ-PNVPNV 36.0% → 32.0% 11 → 9 councillors
- PSE-EE (PSOE)PSOE 24.5% → 23.1% 7 → 7 councillors
- EH BILDUEH Bildu 15.9% → 18.5% 5 → 5 councillors
- VOXVox 2.9% → 7.9% 0 → 2 councillors
- PPPP 7.2% → 6.7% 2 → 2 councillors
- ELKARREKIN PODEMOS-EZKER ANITZA/IU-ALIANZA VERDESumar, Podemos and allies 8.7% → 6.6% 2 → 2 councillors
- BARAKALDOKO AHOTSAKLocal lists 2.5% → 2.8% 0 → 0 councillors
- SOLIDARIALocal lists 0.7% → 0.8% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 43,124 valid votes including 707 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.