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Spain · Municipal elections 2027 · Bizkaia

Arrigorriaga: EH BILDU would win a majority

Arrigorriaga (Bizkaia, 11,954 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

EH BILDU+2
9 councillors (2023: 7) · 47.3% of the vote (2023: 40.2%) Majority 69%
EAJ-PNV±0
6 councillors (2023: 6) · 28.7% of the vote (2023: 31.9%) Majority under 1%
PSE-EE (PSOE)−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 8.3% of the vote (2023: 10.3%) Majority 0%
NOA±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 7.5% of the vote (2023: 6.6%) Majority 0%
ARRIGORRIAGA GARA-ELKARREKIN−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 4.3% of the vote (2023: 6.3%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 31% of 300 simulated elections.

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About Arrigorriaga

Arrigorriaga is a municipality in the province of Bizkaia with 11,954 inhabitants, the 18th largest of its 112 municipalities. Its council has 17 seats, and 9 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 EH BILDU came first with 40.2% of the vote and 7 seats; EAJ-PNV was second with 6. 61.8% of the 9,493 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps EH BILDU on 9 seats, a majority, which it holds in 69% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. EH BILDUEH Bildu 40.2% → 47.3% 7 → 9 councillors
  2. EAJ-PNVPNV 31.9% → 28.7% 6 → 6 councillors
  3. PSE-EE (PSOE)PSOE 10.3% → 8.3% 2 → 1 councillors
  4. NOALocal lists 6.6% → 7.5% 1 → 1 councillors
  5. ARRIGORRIAGA GARA-ELKARREKINSumar, Podemos and allies 6.3% → 4.3% 1 → 0 councillors
  6. PPPP 2.8% → 2.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 5,862 valid votes including 110 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Arrigorriaga in size, in Bizkaia

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