Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Avià: SA would keep its majority

Avià (Barcelona, 2,237 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

SA±0
8 councillors (2023: 8) · 67.1% of the vote (2023: 71.3%) Majority over 99%
F-AVIÀ-AM±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 29.6% of the vote (2023: 25.4%) Majority under 1%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. SALocal lists 71.3% → 67.1% 8 → 8 councillors
  2. F-AVIÀ-AMERC 25.4% → 29.6% 3 → 3 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,061 valid votes including 35 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Avià in size, in Barcelona

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