L'Esquirol: AUD-ERC-AM would keep its majority
L'Esquirol (Barcelona, 2,245 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 98%AUD-ERC-AM majority
- 1,038valid votes in 2023 (58% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 2% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About L'Esquirol
L'Esquirol is a municipality in the province of Barcelona with 2,245 inhabitants, the 184th largest of its 311 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 AUD-ERC-AM came first with 49.8% of the vote and 6 seats, an absolute majority; CM was second with 4. 57.6% of the 1,802 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps AUD-ERC-AM on 7 seats, a majority, which it holds in 98% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- AUD-ERC-AMERC 49.8% → 57.0% 6 → 7 councillors
- CMJunts 32.4% → 26.1% 4 → 3 councillors
- SCLocal lists 12.0% → 11.1% 1 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,038 valid votes including 60 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.