Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Folgueroles: CM would keep its majority

Folgueroles (Barcelona, 2,254 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

CM−1
7 councillors (2023: 8) · 55.9% of the vote (2023: 63.4%) Majority 96%
IPF - AM+1
4 councillors (2023: 3) · 37.7% of the vote (2023: 30.2%) Majority 4%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Folgueroles

Folgueroles is a municipality in the province of Barcelona with 2,254 inhabitants, the 183rd largest of its 311 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 CM came first with 63.4% of the vote and 8 seats, an absolute majority; IPF - AM was second with 3. 55.1% of the 1,762 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps CM on 7 seats, a majority, which it holds in 96% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. CMJunts 63.4% → 55.9% 8 → 7 councillors
  2. IPF - AMERC 30.2% → 37.7% 3 → 4 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 971 valid votes including 62 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Folgueroles in size, in Barcelona

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