Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

El Bruc: no list would have a majority, IEB-ERC-AM largest

El Bruc (Barcelona, 2,218 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

IEB-ERC-AM+1
5 councillors (2023: 4) · 45.8% of the vote (2023: 37.2%) Majority 47%
CM±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 31.4% of the vote (2023: 36.0%) Majority 0%
UB-CP−1
2 councillors (2023: 3) · 18.6% of the vote (2023: 22.6%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 53% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. IEB-ERC-AMERC 37.2% → 45.8% 4 → 5 councillors
  2. CMJunts 36.0% → 31.4% 4 → 4 councillors
  3. UB-CPPSOE 22.6% → 18.6% 3 → 2 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 955 valid votes including 40 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near El Bruc in size, in Barcelona

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