Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

La Granada: ERC / ESQUERRA would keep its majority

La Granada (Barcelona, 2,207 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

ERC / ESQUERRA+1
8 councillors (2023: 7) · 65.2% of the vote (2023: 56.0%) Majority over 99%
CM±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 26.3% of the vote (2023: 32.0%) Majority under 1%
SOM-CP−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 7.0% of the vote (2023: 10.5%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. ERC / ESQUERRAERC 56.0% → 65.2% 7 → 8 councillors
  2. CMJunts 32.0% → 26.3% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. SOM-CPPSOE 10.5% → 7.0% 1 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,163 valid votes including 18 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near La Granada in size, in Barcelona

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