Cardeñosa: PP would keep its majority
Cardeñosa (Ávila, 425 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- over 99%PP majority
- 308valid votes in 2023 (79% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Cardeñosa
Cardeñosa is a municipality in the province of Ávila with 425 inhabitants, the 50th largest of its 248 municipalities. Its council has 7 seats, and 4 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PP came first with 68.2% of the vote and 5 seats, an absolute majority; XAV was second with 2. 79.2% of the 389 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 5 seats, a majority, which it holds in 100% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 68.2% → 69.1% 5 → 5 councillors
- XAVLocal lists 26.0% → 27.6% 2 → 2 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 4.5% → 2.0% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 308 valid votes including 4 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.