Tornadizos de Ávila: no list would have a majority, XAV largest
Tornadizos de Ávila (Ávila, 451 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- 74%no list with a majority
- 315valid votes in 2023 (82% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
XAV±0
3
councillors (2023: 3) · 42.3% of the vote (2023: 39.7%)
Majority 20%
PP±0
3
councillors (2023: 3) · 37.9% of the vote (2023: 37.8%)
Majority 5%
PSOE±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 18.2% of the vote (2023: 21.0%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 74% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- XAVLocal lists 39.7% → 42.3% 3 → 3 councillors
- PPPP 37.8% → 37.9% 3 → 3 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 21.0% → 18.2% 1 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 315 valid votes including 5 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.