Cardeñosa: PP would keep its majority
Cardeñosa (Ávila, 425 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- over 99%PP majority
- 308valid votes in 2023 (79% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PP±0
5
councillors (2023: 5) · 69.1% of the vote (2023: 68.2%)
Majority over 99%
XAV±0
2
councillors (2023: 2) · 27.6% of the vote (2023: 26.0%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 68.2% → 69.1% 5 → 5 councillors
- XAVLocal lists 26.0% → 27.6% 2 → 2 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 4.5% → 2.0% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 308 valid votes including 4 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.