Navarredonda de Gredos: no list would have a majority, VOX largest
Navarredonda de Gredos (Ávila, 429 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- 94%no list with a majority
- 289valid votes in 2023 (78% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
VOX+1
3
councillors (2023: 2) · 35.4% of the vote (2023: 27.0%)
Majority 5%
PP−1
2
councillors (2023: 3) · 28.2% of the vote (2023: 31.8%)
Majority under 1%
XAV±0
2
councillors (2023: 2) · 28.1% of the vote (2023: 29.8%)
Majority under 1%
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 94% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- VOXVox 27.0% → 35.4% 2 → 3 councillors
- PPPP 31.8% → 28.2% 3 → 2 councillors
- XAVLocal lists 29.8% → 28.1% 2 → 2 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 7.6% → 4.5% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 289 valid votes including 11 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.