Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Valdés: PSOE would keep its majority

Valdés (Asturias, 11,099 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE−1
11 councillors (2023: 12) · 60.2% of the vote (2023: 63.2%) Majority over 99%
PP±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 21.6% of the vote (2023: 21.8%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 7.4% of the vote (2023: 2.9%) Majority 0%
FORO ASTURIAS±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 6.5% of the vote (2023: 6.0%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Valdés

Valdés is a municipality in the province of Asturias with 11,099 inhabitants, the 15th largest of its 78 municipalities. Its council has 17 seats, and 9 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSOE came first with 63.2% of the vote and 12 seats, an absolute majority; PP was second with 4. 63.3% of the 9,570 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PSOE on 11 seats, a majority, which it holds in 100% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 63.2% → 60.2% 12 → 11 councillors
  2. PPPP 21.8% → 21.6% 4 → 4 councillors
  3. VOXVox 2.9% → 7.4% 0 → 1 councillors
  4. FORO ASTURIASLocal lists 6.0% → 6.5% 1 → 1 councillors
  5. CSCiudadanos 1.5% → 1.6% 0 → 0 councillors
  6. SMPLocal lists 1.0% → 1.1% 0 → 0 councillors
  7. IU-MAS PAIS-IASSumar, Podemos and allies 1.9% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 6,055 valid votes including 102 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Valdés in size, in Asturias

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