Lena: no list would have a majority, IU-MÁS PAÍS-IAS largest
Lena (Asturias, 10,499 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 17councillors, 9 for a majority
- 99%no list with a majority
- 5,612valid votes in 2023 (63% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
IU-MÁS PAÍS-IAS−1
6
councillors (2023: 7) · 32.0% of the vote (2023: 33.8%)
Majority 1%
PSOE±0
4
councillors (2023: 4) · 23.3% of the vote (2023: 24.1%)
Majority 0%
CXASTURIES−1
3
councillors (2023: 4) · 19.4% of the vote (2023: 21.2%)
Majority 0%
PP±0
2
councillors (2023: 2) · 13.7% of the vote (2023: 13.2%)
Majority 0%
VOX+2
2
councillors (2023: 0) · 10.3% of the vote (2023: 4.4%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 99% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- IU-MÁS PAÍS-IASSumar, Podemos and allies 33.8% → 32.0% 7 → 6 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 24.1% → 23.3% 4 → 4 councillors
- CXASTURIESSumar, Podemos and allies 21.2% → 19.4% 4 → 3 councillors
- PPPP 13.2% → 13.7% 2 → 2 councillors
- VOXVox 4.4% → 10.3% 0 → 2 councillors
- PODEMOSSumar, Podemos and allies 2.2% → 0.3% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 5,612 valid votes including 63 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.