Lena: no list would have a majority, IU-MÁS PAÍS-IAS largest
Lena (Asturias, 10,499 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 17councillors, 9 for a majority
- 99%no list with a majority
- 5,612valid votes in 2023 (63% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 99% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Lena
Lena is a municipality in the province of Asturias with 10,499 inhabitants, the 16th largest of its 78 municipalities. Its council has 17 seats, and 9 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 IU-MÁS PAÍS-IAS came first with 33.8% of the vote and 7 seats; PSOE was second with 4. 62.7% of the 8,956 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: IU-MÁS PAÍS-IAS would be largest on 6 of 17.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- IU-MÁS PAÍS-IASSumar, Podemos and allies 33.8% → 32.0% 7 → 6 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 24.1% → 23.3% 4 → 4 councillors
- CXASTURIESSumar, Podemos and allies 21.2% → 19.4% 4 → 3 councillors
- PPPP 13.2% → 13.7% 2 → 2 councillors
- VOXVox 4.4% → 10.3% 0 → 2 councillors
- PODEMOSSumar, Podemos and allies 2.2% → 0.3% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 5,612 valid votes including 63 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.