Carreño: no list would have a majority, IU-SOMOS CARREÑO largest
Carreño (Asturias, 10,226 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 17councillors, 9 for a majority
- over 99%no list with a majority
- 5,654valid votes in 2023 (66% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
IU-SOMOS CARREÑO−1
6
councillors (2023: 7) · 34.2% of the vote (2023: 38.3%)
Majority under 1%
PSOE±0
5
councillors (2023: 5) · 27.1% of the vote (2023: 29.3%)
Majority 0%
PP±0
4
councillors (2023: 4) · 23.9% of the vote (2023: 23.7%)
Majority 0%
VOX+1
2
councillors (2023: 1) · 13.0% of the vote (2023: 6.8%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in over 99% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- IU-SOMOS CARREÑOSumar, Podemos and allies 38.3% → 34.2% 7 → 6 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 29.3% → 27.1% 5 → 5 councillors
- PPPP 23.7% → 23.9% 4 → 4 councillors
- VOXVox 6.8% → 13.0% 1 → 2 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 5,654 valid votes including 105 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.