Soto del Barco: CISB would keep its majority
Soto del Barco (Asturias, 3,851 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 99%CISB majority
- 2,475valid votes in 2023 (73% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 1% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Soto del Barco
Soto del Barco is a municipality in the province of Asturias with 3,851 inhabitants, the 33rd largest of its 78 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 CISB came first with 57.7% of the vote and 8 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE was second with 2. 73.2% of the 3,381 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps CISB on 7 seats, a majority, which it holds in 99% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- CISBLocal lists 57.7% → 59.3% 8 → 7 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 21.3% → 18.0% 2 → 2 councillors
- VOXVox 3.8% → 8.3% 0 → 1 councillors
- SJASILocal lists 7.4% → 7.6% 1 → 1 councillors
- PPPP 7.1% → 6.0% 0 → 0 councillors
- IU-MÁS PAÍS-IASSumar, Podemos and allies 2.3% → 0.3% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,475 valid votes including 14 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.