Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Castropol: no list would have a majority, C A largest

Castropol (Asturias, 3,288 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

C A±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 43.9% of the vote (2023: 40.3%) Majority 28%
PP±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 30.5% of the vote (2023: 29.9%) Majority 0%
PSOE±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 23.2% of the vote (2023: 25.4%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 72% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. C ALocal lists 40.3% → 43.9% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. PPPP 29.9% → 30.5% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. PSOEPSOE 25.4% → 23.2% 3 → 3 councillors
  4. IU-MAS PAIS-IASSumar, Podemos and allies 2.5% → 0.5% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,029 valid votes including 38 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Castropol in size, in Asturias

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