Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Vegadeo: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest

Vegadeo (Asturias, 3,895 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 42.7% of the vote (2023: 43.7%) Majority 40%
PP±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 31.4% of the vote (2023: 30.0%) Majority 1%
FORO ASTURIAS+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 16.4% of the vote (2023: 14.6%) Majority 0%
IU-MAS PAIS-IAS−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 7.0% of the vote (2023: 9.2%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 59% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 43.7% → 42.7% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. PPPP 30.0% → 31.4% 4 → 4 councillors
  3. FORO ASTURIASLocal lists 14.6% → 16.4% 1 → 2 councillors
  4. IU-MAS PAIS-IASSumar, Podemos and allies 9.2% → 7.0% 1 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,206 valid votes including 56 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Vegadeo in size, in Asturias

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