Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Castropol: no list would have a majority, C A largest

Castropol (Asturias, 3,288 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

C A±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 43.9% of the vote (2023: 40.3%) Majority 28%
PP±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 30.5% of the vote (2023: 29.9%) Majority 0%
PSOE±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 23.2% of the vote (2023: 25.4%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 72% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Castropol

Castropol is a municipality in the province of Asturias with 3,288 inhabitants, the 36th largest of its 78 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 C A came first with 40.3% of the vote and 5 seats; PP was second with 3. 70.7% of the 2,868 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: C A would be largest on 5 of 11.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. C ALocal lists 40.3% → 43.9% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. PPPP 29.9% → 30.5% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. PSOEPSOE 25.4% → 23.2% 3 → 3 councillors
  4. IU-MAS PAIS-IASSumar, Podemos and allies 2.5% → 0.5% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,029 valid votes including 38 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Castropol in size, in Asturias

Every municipality in Asturias → · All of Spain →