España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Soto del Barco: CISB would keep its majority

Soto del Barco (Asturias, 3,851 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

CISB−1
7 councillors (2023: 8) · 59.3% of the vote (2023: 57.7%) Majority 99%
PSOE±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 18.0% of the vote (2023: 21.3%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 8.3% of the vote (2023: 3.8%) Majority 0%
SJASI±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 7.6% of the vote (2023: 7.4%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 1% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. CISBLocal lists 57.7% → 59.3% 8 → 7 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 21.3% → 18.0% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. VOXVox 3.8% → 8.3% 0 → 1 councillors
  4. SJASILocal lists 7.4% → 7.6% 1 → 1 councillors
  5. PPPP 7.1% → 6.0% 0 → 0 councillors
  6. IU-MÁS PAÍS-IASSumar, Podemos and allies 2.3% → 0.3% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,475 valid votes including 14 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Soto del Barco in size, in Asturias

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