Grado: IU-MÁS PAÍS-IAS would keep its majority
Grado (Asturias, 9,598 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 13councillors, 7 for a majority
- 58%no list with a majority
- 4,856valid votes in 2023 (61% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 58% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Grado
Grado is a municipality in the province of Asturias with 9,598 inhabitants, the 20th largest of its 78 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 IU-MÁS PAÍS-IAS came first with 49.7% of the vote and 7 seats, an absolute majority; PP was second with 4. 60.6% of the 8,015 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps IU-MÁS PAÍS-IAS on 7 seats, a majority, which it holds in 42% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- IU-MÁS PAÍS-IASSumar, Podemos and allies 49.7% → 45.4% 7 → 7 councillors
- PPPP 25.4% → 25.9% 4 → 3 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 17.3% → 15.1% 2 → 2 councillors
- VOXVox 5.9% → 11.8% 0 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 4,856 valid votes including 86 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.