Grado: IU-MÁS PAÍS-IAS would keep its majority
Grado (Asturias, 9,598 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 13councillors, 7 for a majority
- 58%no list with a majority
- 4,856valid votes in 2023 (61% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
IU-MÁS PAÍS-IAS±0
7
councillors (2023: 7) · 45.4% of the vote (2023: 49.7%)
Majority 42%
PP−1
3
councillors (2023: 4) · 25.9% of the vote (2023: 25.4%)
Majority 0%
PSOE±0
2
councillors (2023: 2) · 15.1% of the vote (2023: 17.3%)
Majority 0%
VOX+1
1
councillors (2023: 0) · 11.8% of the vote (2023: 5.9%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 58% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- IU-MÁS PAÍS-IASSumar, Podemos and allies 49.7% → 45.4% 7 → 7 councillors
- PPPP 25.4% → 25.9% 4 → 3 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 17.3% → 15.1% 2 → 2 councillors
- VOXVox 5.9% → 11.8% 0 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 4,856 valid votes including 86 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.