Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Corvera de Asturias: PSOE would keep its majority

Corvera de Asturias (Asturias, 15,563 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE±0
13 councillors (2023: 13) · 66.2% of the vote (2023: 69.3%) Majority over 99%
PP±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 13.2% of the vote (2023: 13.7%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 12.0% of the vote (2023: 6.3%) Majority 0%
IU-MÁS PAÍS-IAS−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 3.8% of the vote (2023: 6.0%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

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About Corvera de Asturias

Corvera de Asturias is a municipality in the province of Asturias with 15,563 inhabitants, the 8th largest of its 78 municipalities. Its council has 17 seats, and 9 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSOE came first with 69.3% of the vote and 13 seats, an absolute majority; PP was second with 2. 61.1% of the 13,011 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PSOE on 13 seats, a majority, which it holds in 100% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 69.3% → 66.2% 13 → 13 councillors
  2. PPPP 13.7% → 13.2% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. VOXVox 6.3% → 12.0% 1 → 2 councillors
  4. IU-MÁS PAÍS-IASSumar, Podemos and allies 6.0% → 3.8% 1 → 0 councillors
  5. SOMOS CORVERALocal lists 3.2% → 3.4% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 7,945 valid votes including 117 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Corvera de Asturias in size, in Asturias

Every municipality in Asturias → · All of Spain →