Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Llanera: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest

Llanera (Asturias, 13,792 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE−1
7 councillors (2023: 8) · 40.0% of the vote (2023: 42.7%) Majority 16%
PP±0
6 councillors (2023: 6) · 32.9% of the vote (2023: 32.7%) Majority under 1%
VOX+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 16.6% of the vote (2023: 9.7%) Majority 0%
IU-MÁS PAÍS-IAS±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 5.2% of the vote (2023: 7.6%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 84% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 42.7% → 40.0% 8 → 7 councillors
  2. PPPP 32.7% → 32.9% 6 → 6 councillors
  3. VOXVox 9.7% → 16.6% 2 → 3 councillors
  4. IU-MÁS PAÍS-IASSumar, Podemos and allies 7.6% → 5.2% 1 → 1 councillors
  5. PODEMOSSumar, Podemos and allies 4.6% → 2.5% 0 → 0 councillors
  6. SMPLocal lists 0.5% → 0.6% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 7,594 valid votes including 160 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Llanera in size, in Asturias

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