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Spain · Municipal elections 2027 · Asturias

Aller: PSOE would keep its majority

Aller (Asturias, 10,201 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE−1
12 councillors (2023: 13) · 62.6% of the vote (2023: 64.4%) Majority over 99%
PP+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 14.6% of the vote (2023: 14.8%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 11.6% of the vote (2023: 5.8%) Majority 0%
IU-MÁS PAÍS-IAS−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 4.3% of the vote (2023: 6.5%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Aller

Aller is a municipality in the province of Asturias with 10,201 inhabitants, the 19th largest of its 78 municipalities. Its council has 17 seats, and 9 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSOE came first with 64.4% of the vote and 13 seats, an absolute majority; PP was second with 2. 66% of the 8,932 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PSOE on 12 seats, a majority, which it holds in 100% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 64.4% → 62.6% 13 → 12 councillors
  2. PPPP 14.8% → 14.6% 2 → 3 councillors
  3. VOXVox 5.8% → 11.6% 1 → 2 councillors
  4. IU-MÁS PAÍS-IASSumar, Podemos and allies 6.5% → 4.3% 1 → 0 councillors
  5. FORO ASTURIASLocal lists 3.8% → 4.1% 0 → 0 councillors
  6. CSCiudadanos 1.4% → 1.5% 0 → 0 councillors
  7. PODEMOSSumar, Podemos and allies 2.6% → 0.6% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 5,895 valid votes including 41 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Aller in size, in Asturias

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