Aller: PSOE would keep its majority
Aller (Asturias, 10,201 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 17councillors, 9 for a majority
- over 99%PSOE majority
- 5,895valid votes in 2023 (66% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PSOE−1
12
councillors (2023: 13) · 62.6% of the vote (2023: 64.4%)
Majority over 99%
PP+1
3
councillors (2023: 2) · 14.6% of the vote (2023: 14.8%)
Majority 0%
VOX+1
2
councillors (2023: 1) · 11.6% of the vote (2023: 5.8%)
Majority 0%
IU-MÁS PAÍS-IAS−1
0
councillors (2023: 1) · 4.3% of the vote (2023: 6.5%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOEPSOE 64.4% → 62.6% 13 → 12 councillors
- PPPP 14.8% → 14.6% 2 → 3 councillors
- VOXVox 5.8% → 11.6% 1 → 2 councillors
- IU-MÁS PAÍS-IASSumar, Podemos and allies 6.5% → 4.3% 1 → 0 councillors
- FORO ASTURIASLocal lists 3.8% → 4.1% 0 → 0 councillors
- CSCiudadanos 1.4% → 1.5% 0 → 0 councillors
- PODEMOSSumar, Podemos and allies 2.6% → 0.6% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 5,895 valid votes including 41 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.