Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Oyón-Oion: no list would have a majority, EH BILDU largest

Oyón-Oion (Araba/Álava, 3,408 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

EH BILDU±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 40.7% of the vote (2023: 34.8%) Majority 28%
EAJ-PNV±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 23.3% of the vote (2023: 26.1%) Majority 0%
PP±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 18.3% of the vote (2023: 17.6%) Majority 0%
PSE-EE (PSOE)±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 11.4% of the vote (2023: 13.3%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 72% of 300 simulated elections.

Try it

What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Oyón-Oion

Oyón-Oion is a municipality in the province of Araba/Álava with 3,408 inhabitants, the 6th largest of its 51 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 EH BILDU came first with 34.8% of the vote and 5 seats; EAJ-PNV was second with 3. 60.1% of the 2,410 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: EH BILDU would be largest on 5 of 11.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. EH BILDUEH Bildu 34.8% → 40.7% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. EAJ-PNVPNV 26.1% → 23.3% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. PPPP 17.6% → 18.3% 2 → 2 councillors
  4. PSE-EE (PSOE)PSOE 13.3% → 11.4% 1 → 1 councillors
  5. PODEMOS-EZKER ANITZA / IUSumar, Podemos and allies 6.5% → 4.5% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,449 valid votes including 26 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Oyón-Oion in size, in Araba/Álava

Every municipality in Araba/Álava → · All of Spain →