How well do you know the polls?
Ten questions from today's figures: our poll averages, our forecast and how the polls did at past elections. Round 97 for 4 November 2026.
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1To the nearest point, what share of the vote did Democrat win at the United States' 2016 election?
48.1%. See the page
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2At Poland's 2023 election, how far out was the average final poll, per party, to the nearest half point?
1.9 points per party, over 12 final polls. See the page
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3Which party won the most votes at the United Kingdom's 2024 election?
Lab with 34.7%, ahead of Con on 24.4%. See the page
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4At Germany's 2025 election, which party did better than the final polls said, by the most?
SPD: 15.2% in the final polls, 16.4% on the day. See the page
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5At Canada's 2025 election, how far out was the average final poll, per party, to the nearest half point?
1.5 points per party, over 13 final polls. See the page
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6In France, what chance does our forecast give for “Le Pen v Mélenchon in round two”?
74%, from thousands of simulated elections with the polls missing as they have before. See the page
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7To the nearest point, what share of the vote did Conservative win at Canada's 2019 election?
34.3%. See the page
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8Which party won the most votes at the United Kingdom's 2017 election?
Con with 43.4%, ahead of Lab on 41.0%. See the page
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9Which party has gained most in the polls since the Netherlands' last election (29 October 2025)?
PRO: 12.8% then, 18.8% in our average now (+6.0 points). See the page
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10How many seats does our forecast give CDU/CSU in the Bundestag in Germany?
148 in our projection. See the page
out of 10
Questions are written automatically from the figures on the site, so they change as new polls come in. Your answers and score stay in your browser.