How well do you know the polls?
Ten questions from today's figures: our poll averages, our forecast and how the polls did at past elections. Round 62 for 4 November 2026.
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1Which party has gained most in the polls since Italy's last election (25 September 2022)?
AVS: 3.6% then, 6.3% in our average now (+2.6 points). See the page
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2To the nearest point, what share of the vote did FdI win at Italy's 2022 election?
26.0%. See the page
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3To the nearest point, what share of the vote did LR win at France's 2007 election?
31.2%. See the page
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4At which election since 2000 were the United States' final polls closest to the result?
2004: 0.1 points out per party on average. See the page
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5Which party has lost most support since Germany's last election (23 February 2025)?
CDU/CSU: 28.5% then, 20.5% in our average now (−8.0 points). See the page
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6In the United Kingdom, what chance does our forecast give for “Labour majority”?
45%, from thousands of simulated elections with the polls missing as they have before. See the page
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7In Poland, what chance does our forecast give for “Government majority”?
7%, from thousands of simulated elections with the polls missing as they have before. See the page
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8Who leads the polls in Germany?
AfD on 27.4% in our average, ahead of CDU/CSU on 20.5%. See the page
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9At which election since 2000 were France's final polls furthest out?
2022: 2.3 points out per party on average. See the page
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10At Australia's 2025 election, how far out was the average final poll, per party, to the nearest half point?
2.0 points per party, over 10 final polls. See the page
out of 10
Questions are written automatically from the figures on the site, so they change as new polls come in. Your answers and score stay in your browser.