How well do you know the polls in Italy?
Ten questions from today's figures: our poll averages, our forecast and how the polls did at past elections. Round 62 for 4 November 2026.
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1To the nearest point, what share of the vote did M5S win at Italy's 2018 election?
32.7%. See the page
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2To the nearest point, what share of the vote did FdI win at Italy's 2022 election?
26.0%. See the page
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3Which party won the most votes at Italy's 2018 election?
M5S with 32.7%, ahead of PD on 18.8%. See the page
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4In Italy, what chance does our forecast give for “Lega clears 3%”?
88%, from thousands of simulated elections with the polls missing as they have before. See the page
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5At Italy's 2022 election, which party did better than the final polls said, by the most?
M5S: 13.5% in the final polls, 15.4% on the day. See the page
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6At which election since 2000 were Italy's final polls furthest out?
2013: 5.6 points out per party on average. See the page
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7How many seats does our forecast give Centre-right in the Camera dei Deputati in Italy?
143 in our projection. See the page
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8How many seats does our forecast give Centre-left in the Camera dei Deputati in Italy?
223 in our projection, a majority (201 needed). See the page
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9Which party has gained most in the polls since Italy's last election (25 September 2022)?
AVS: 3.6% then, 6.3% in our average now (+2.6 points). See the page
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10Who leads the polls in Italy?
FdI on 27.7% in our average, ahead of PD on 20.3%. See the page
out of 10
Questions are written automatically from the figures on the site, so they change as new polls come in. Your answers and score stay in your browser.