How well do you know the polls in Germany?
Ten questions from today's figures: our poll averages, our forecast and how the polls did at past elections. Round 62 for 4 November 2026.
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1How many seats does our forecast give CDU/CSU in the Bundestag in Germany?
148 in our projection. See the page
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2To the nearest point, what share of the vote did CDU/CSU win at Germany's 2025 election?
28.5%. See the page
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3Which party won the most votes at Germany's 2025 election?
CDU/CSU with 28.5%, ahead of AfD on 20.8%. See the page
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4Who leads the polls in Germany?
AfD on 27.4% in our average, ahead of CDU/CSU on 20.5%. See the page
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5In Germany, what chance does our forecast give for “CDU/CSU + SPD + Greens”?
97%, from thousands of simulated elections with the polls missing as they have before. See the page
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6To the nearest point, what share of the vote did CDU/CSU win at Germany's 2013 election?
41.5%. See the page
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7Which pollster's final polls have been closest to the result in Germany?
Wahlkreisprognose: 0.8 points out per party on average over 2 elections, the best of 4. See the page
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8In Germany, what chance does our forecast give for “BSW clears 5%”?
5%, from thousands of simulated elections with the polls missing as they have before. See the page
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9Which party won the most votes at Germany's 2021 election?
SPD with 25.7%, ahead of CDU/CSU on 24.1%. See the page
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10At Germany's 2025 election, which party did better than the final polls said, by the most?
SPD: 15.2% in the final polls, 16.4% on the day. See the page
out of 10
Questions are written automatically from the figures on the site, so they change as new polls come in. Your answers and score stay in your browser.