How well do you know the polls?
Ten questions from today's figures: our poll averages, our forecast and how the polls did at past elections. Round 61 for 4 November 2026.
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1How many seats does our forecast give PVV in the Tweede Kamer in the Netherlands?
20 in our projection. See the page
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2How many seats does our forecast give AfD in the Bundestag in Germany?
197 in our projection, 119 short of a majority. See the page
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3At which election since 2000 were France's final polls furthest out?
2022: 2.3 points out per party on average. See the page
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4At which election since 2000 were the United Kingdom's final polls closest to the result?
2019: 0.7 points out per party on average. See the page
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5To the nearest point, what share of the vote did Coalition win at Australia's 2019 election?
41.4%. See the page
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6At which election since 2000 were the Netherlands' final polls closest to the result?
2006: 1.1 points out per party on average. See the page
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7To the nearest point, what share of the vote did PiS win at Poland's 2015 election?
37.6%. See the page
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8In Poland, whose poll average has moved most in the last week of polling?
PiS: up 0.8 points, now 22.5%. See the page
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9Which party won the most votes at Spain's 2023 election?
PP with 33.1%, ahead of PSOE on 31.7%. See the page
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10At the United States' 2024 election, how far out was the average final poll, per party, to the nearest half point?
1.4 points per party, over 34 final polls. See the page
out of 10
Questions are written automatically from the figures on the site, so they change as new polls come in. Your answers and score stay in your browser.